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COTS, New Space, LEO Constellations

COTS Lifetime extension for the New Space market

  • Posted by Roberto Manuel Cibils
  • On December 3, 2019
  • 0

Explosive Growing Markets: New Space

  • NewSpace, or new space: is the movement and philosophy that inspires the emerging industry of private space flights worldwide. 
  • Actors: 
    • New private companies of the aerospace industry
    • Major traditional contractors of the aerospace industry

 

  • Goals:
    • “Faster, cheaper and better“ access to space technologies driven by purely commercial reasons.

 

New Space Philosophy

  • New instrument: the “SmallSats” constellations.
  • Lower production costs: by automation and large-scale production.
  • Lower launching costs: lower satellite mass and size.
  • Lower cost of components: use of consumer market electronics.
    • Shorter satellite lifetime

 

Big Players

 

big players

 

15,000 new satellites in LEO orbits in the next years

Strategic Technology

  • It can be seen here an explosive growing market
  •  Assuming $1 million per satellite it can be sized as 15 billion dollars investment for the next years.
  • What if there were a technology capable of increasing the lifetime of the New Space satellites at a very low cost?
  • Those who used this technology would be able to have a:

 Huge reduction of their costs.

 

Satellites launches per year Savings from lifetime extension

Assuming a 2 years satellite lifetime 

satellite lifetime

Several Billion dollars savings

 

Vulnerability of electronic components

Technological advance

Squeezed electronics: reduce satellite size, mass and power

CMOS relevance grows: a whole PCB is replaced by a single IC

CMOS vulnerability grows:

    • Electromigration
    • Time Dependent Dielectric Breakdown
    • Bias Thermal Instability
    • Hot Carrier Injection
    • Solder joint fracture (BGA)
    • Multi-bit Upsets
    • Single Event Latchup

 

What does the lifetime of CMOS integrated circuits depend on?

lifetime of CMOS

In INVAP we are developing new techniques with this aim

PREVENTION & MITIGATION TECHNIQUES

thermally conductiveThermally conductive & electrical insulator coating 

  • Up to 50 degrees ambient
  • High power density
  • High thermal resistance
  • No convection
  • Upper surface path

 

 

 

 

 

anisotropicSpace Qualified Anisotropic Conducting Film

  • 8760 thermal cycles per year 
  • Mainly BGA packages
  • Difference between CTEs
  • Extremely rigid solder joints

 

 

 

 

 

lockstepOptimized Lockstep, checkpointing & rollback

  • Increased susceptibility to SEU/SEFI
  • High impact on service availability
  • Difficult implementation in consumer electronics

 

protectionAdaptative Single Event Latchup Protection

  •  Low LET threshold
  •  High cross section
  •  Expensive Qualification
  •  Increased consumption
  •  Adaptative Threshold

 

 

 

 

spot shieldingNew materials for Spot Shielding

  • CMOS tends to be more TID tolerant
  • Lifetime expectations tend to decline
  • Spot shielding is still useful

 

 

 

Conclusions

  1. There is an explosive growing market for the manufacture of small-sized satellites for LEO orbit constellations using COTS.
  2. The leading edge CMOS Ics are the key to reduce the size and mass of the New Space satellites.
  3. There are few or no qualified versions.
  4. The up-screening process is expensive and risky.
  5. It is possible to extend the lifetime of these components through low-cost techniques.
  6. The constellation manufacturer that uses these techniques will achieve a significant cost reduction.

 

BACKUP SLIDES

New instrument: the “SmallSats” constellations

smallsats

 

Lower production costs: automation and large-scale production

large-scale production

 

Lower launch costs: lower satellite mass and size

lower satellite

  • Author
  • Recent Posts
Roberto Manuel Cibils
Roberto Manuel Cibils
He currently works at the Engineering and Production Division of INVAP. Roberto does research in Aerospace and Nuclear Reactors Systems Engineering, Risk Assessment of Electronic Systems for Avionic and Nuclear Safety Systems Health Management. His most recent projects are "Lifetime extension of electronic systems" and "Ageing management of SSC in Nuclear Research Reactors safety systems"
Roberto Manuel Cibils
Latest posts by Roberto Manuel Cibils (see all)
  • COTS Lifetime extension for the New Space market - December 3, 2019
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